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Long-range forecasting. From crystal ball to computer Jon Scott Armstrong
Tipo de material:
TextoIdioma: Inglés Detalles de publicación: New York John Wiley & Sons 1978Descripción: xviii, 612 p. 24 cmISBN: - 0471030023
- 338.5 21 A778L
Contenidos:
PART I GETTING STARTED. 1 Introduction. 2 The Systems Approach
and Other Good Advice. 3 Implementation. 4 Research Strategies. PART II FORECASTING METHODS. 5 Classifying the Forecasting Methods. 6 Judgmental Methods: the Crystal Ball. 7 Extrapolation Methods. 8 Econometric Methods. 9 Segmentation Methods. 10 Bootstrapping and Other Combined Methods. PART III EVALUATING MODELS. 11 A Framework for Evaluation. 12 Testing Inputs. 13 Testing Outputs. PART IV COMPARING METHODS. 14 Costs and Benefits of the Forecasting Methods. 15 An Evaluation of Accuracy. PART V COMMENCEMENT. 16 Trends in the Use of Forecasting Methods. 17 Research on Forecasting Methods.
Libro
| Biblioteca actual | Biblioteca de origen | Signatura | Copia número | Estado | Fecha de vencimiento | Código de barras | Reserva de ítems |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIBLIOTECA CIESS Acervo General | BIBLIOTECA CIESS Acervo General | 338.5 A778L | 1 | Disponible | 014454 | ||
| BIBLIOTECA CIESS Acervo Digital | BIBLIOTECA CIESS Acervo Digital | 338.5 A778L Ej.2 | 2 | Disponible | PDF2117 |
Total de reservas: 0
PART I GETTING STARTED. 1 Introduction. 2 The Systems Approach
and Other Good Advice. 3 Implementation. 4 Research Strategies. PART II FORECASTING METHODS. 5 Classifying the Forecasting Methods. 6 Judgmental Methods: the Crystal Ball. 7 Extrapolation Methods. 8 Econometric Methods. 9 Segmentation Methods. 10 Bootstrapping and Other Combined Methods. PART III EVALUATING MODELS. 11 A Framework for Evaluation. 12 Testing Inputs. 13 Testing Outputs. PART IV COMPARING METHODS. 14 Costs and Benefits of the Forecasting Methods. 15 An Evaluation of Accuracy. PART V COMMENCEMENT. 16 Trends in the Use of Forecasting Methods. 17 Research on Forecasting Methods.
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