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003			CIESS
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008			230106c20012010mx kr pqon 0 0eng c
022			_a1870-2961
040			_aBiblioteca CIESS _bspa _cBiblioteca CIESS _dgvzj
041			_aeng
082			_aREV WSP No.10
100	1		_aPremand, Patrick _923851
245	1	0	_aDo shocks affect poverty persistance? Evidence using welfare trajectories from Nicaragua _ceditor invitado Alejandro de la Fuente
260			_aMéxico _bCISS _bUIA _c2010
300			_a95-129 p. _bil. _c22 cm.
310			_aSemestral
362			_aRevista Well-being and Social Policy, Vol. 6, No. 1, First semester 2010
440			_aNatural disasters and poverty in Latin America _928747
500			_aTítulo en español: ¿Tienen algún efecto los choques en la persistencia de la pobreza? Evidencia usando trayectorias del bienestar en Nicaragua.
504			_aBibliografía p. 127-129.
520			_aShocks are often primarily associated with downward mobility or short-term movements in and out of poverty. However, households at the bottom of the welfare distribution are likely to face the most constraints to access insurance mechanisms. In this paper, we consider whether shocks directly affect poverty persistence. In order to analyze the impact of shocks on households’ welfare path over time, we define trajectories as the sequence of households’ position along the welfare distribution as time unfolds. Trajectories provide a consistent representation of households’ mobility when the first-order Markov assumption is violated. In a three-round Nicaraguan panel, we assess the role of shocks in driving two specific mobility patterns. We confirm that shocks contribute to downward mobility, but find novel and robust evidence that shocks trigger poverty persistence, preventing upward movement from the bottom of the distribution. This result points to large potential gains from social risk management policies targeting not only the vulnerable non-poor, but also and in priority the poor.
538			_aPDF 427 KB
650			_aSeguridad social _vPublicaciones periódicas _zMéxico _920432
650			_aSeguridad social _xDesastres naturales _zNicaragua _924113
650			_aPobreza _zNicaragua _928748
700	1		_aVakis, Renos
710			_aConferencia Interamericana de Seguridad Social _9114
710			_aUniversidad Iberoamericana. Ciudad de México _923683
856			_uhttp://162.222.203.113/Analiticas/ADISS2016-396.pdf _zDisponible ADISS2016-396
942			_cART _2ddc
999			_c30319 _d30319
773	0		_032179 _923740 _aConferencia Interamericana de Seguridad Social _b _dMéxico CISS UI 2006-2014 _o028337 _tWell-being and social policy _w _x1870-2961 _z